The true toll of US tariffs on China is just beginning to be felt on the trans-Pacific.
Months of frontloading that drove an earlier peak season have come to an end, and US retailers are pulling back on ordering for the rest of the year in the face of a slowing US economy and higher tariff costs. Shippers and consignees are also racking up stiffer demurrage and storage bills because demand uncertainty is slowing their pickup of containers from marine terminals.
A sense of uncertainty — if not alarm — about future demand and tariff levels on China has slowed, and even paralyzed, some orders from small and medium-sized importers, four veteran forwarders told the Journal of Commerce. While China bookings haven’t cratered as they did in April when the Trump administration temporarily raised the US tariff level to 145%, forwarders warn of a renewed weakness in the market caused by more than just the end of peak season.
Demurrage levels on the rise
Customers importing lower-value goods have even begun abandoning containers as the cost of the tariffs outweighs what the items can be sold for. Even those who tapped bonded warehouse space face the prospect of no more reprieves in tariffs — and a hefty storage bill, the forwarder source said. Other customers are shifting toward origin-controlled cargo, in which the seller bears all shipping and customs costs until it delivers the goods to the buyer, he said.
Rising demurrage levels at major US ports also speak to increased deterioration in the trans-Pacific market. Demurrage levels have been rising all year but spiked in July to an average of 8.1 days, up from 3.8 days in January, according to data from transportation management visibility software vendor GoComet.
Details please refer to the JOC news.
Source: JOC