US port delays force ‘structural’ blank sailings on Transpacific Trade lane

With Hapag-Lloyd — and by extension its partners in THE Alliance — advising customers of 21 de facto canceled sailings in February in the eastbound trans-Pacific due to schedule disruptions, importers should anticipate even tighter capacity in the coming months. 

Unlike blank sailings made by carriers in response to weak cargo volumes, these missed voyages are structural in nature. When a vessel has been delayed for a week or longer at a given port, the carrier will then institute a “structural” blank for that ship’s next sailing to rectify the service schedule.

 “The sailings are sliding. Other alliances will also see sailings slide,” Uffe Ostergaard, Hapag-Lloyd’s Americas president, told JOC.com Monday. Hapag-Lloyd is a member of THE Alliance along with Ocean Network Express (ONE), Yang Ming, and HMM. 

Ostergaard said Hapag-Lloyd’s changes to its service schedule are necessitated by vessel bunching at congested ports due to near-record cargo volumes in the Asia-North America trade. Import volumes exploded when the North American economy began to recover last summer following the lifting of initial COVID-19 lockdowns. Eastbound liner reliability from Asia to both US coasts was under 30 percent for both coasts in December, according to Sea-Intelligence Maritime Analysis. 

The worst congestion in the US has been at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, with numerous container ships delayed a week or longer, according to the Marine Exchange of Southern California. Ostergaard also cited Oakland and Vancouver as being West Coast gateways that have experienced late vessel arrivals and congestion.

Carriers may need further blank sailings 

The current round of de facto blank sailings could be the first of several “corrections” that Hapag-Lloyd, and possibly other carriers and vessel-sharing alliances, may have to make in the coming months. “This will be a recurring theme,” Ostergaard said. 

Lars Jensen, CEO of SeaIntelligence Consulting, told JOC.com Tuesday that although no other carrier or vessel-sharing alliance has announced structural blank sailings, he anticipates more will be coming. 

A spokesperson for ONE in Singapore told JOC.com that schedule delays have become so bad that the carrier is considering whether to void sailings during the Lunar New Year so it can reposition ships to restore schedule reliability. 

“Heavy schedule delays are being caused by global terminal congestion resulting from low productivity and lack of labor due to the COVID-19 pandemic,” she said. “Vessel schedules on each service are also heavily affected by the congestion and the schedule delay may result in a lack of vessels to meet a full service after Chinese New Year.” 

Christian Sur, executive vice president of sales and marketing at non-vessel-operating common carrier (NVO) Unique Logistics International, said he received Hapag-Lloyd’s customer advisory late last week, and he would not be surprised if the 2M and Ocean alliances issue advisories as well. 

“They have similar issues,” Sur said.

Import volumes may not slow appreciably 

Sur added that US imports from Asia remain exceptionally strong for this time of year, and with a backlog of merchandise building at Asian factories in the run-up to the Lunar New Year holidays beginning Feb. 12, vessels will likely continue to be overbooked at Asian load ports through the first quarter. 

Vessel disruptions due to blank sailings could lead to a situation that ports such as Los Angeles and Long Beach faced last March when empty containers congested the terminals, import distribution centers, and truck yards in Southern California, and carriers were not providing enough westbound trans-Pacific capacity to return the empties to Asia. 

Carriers at the time deployed “sweeper” ships to Los Angeles-Long Beach to vacate the empties, but Ostergaard said that strategy may not work this time. Carriers have few idle ships in the fleet, and even if they can secure some, the sweeper ships will face continued congestion at the ports. 

“Even the sweeper ships can’t run on schedule,” he said.

With reports from Asia indicating some factories are planning to remain open through the Lunar New Year, US import volumes may not drop significantly as they normally do during the holidays, so vessel space at Asian load ports is likely to remain tight for some time, Sur said.

Shipping Delays Feared as California’s Two Largest Ports Face COVID Outbreaks

COVID-19 infections among dockworkers and a pandemic-fueled torrent of imports have created a perfect storm at California’s two busiest ports.

The Los Angeles Times reported that nearly 700 dockworkers at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach have contracted COVID-19, and hundreds more have had to take virus-related leave, creating the potential for a debilitating slowdown. As of Jan. 20, a total of 45 ships were waiting to unload—the largest bottleneck in six years. 

“We’ve got more cargo than we do skilled labor,” Eugene Seroka, executive director of the Port of Los Angeles, told the LA Times. “We are told 1,800 workers are not going on the job due to COVID right now. That can [include] those who are isolating through contact tracing or awaiting test results. Or maybe [those who] fear … going on the job when a lot of people are sick.” 

At the beginning of the pandemic, the U.S. saw a slowdown of products coming from China, which was then the epicenter of the virus. At that point, container volume at the Port of Los Angeles dropped about 19 percent. But, in the second half of 2020, as more people worked (and shopped) from home, volume rose by about 50 percent. 

California’s infection rates are on the decline from the mid-January peak seven-day average of 44,197, but still at a current seven-day average of 25,576 new cases. In the last two weeks, Los Angeles County alone reported about 153,000 total cases.

According to the the International Longshore and Warehouse Union, positivity rate at the Port of Los Angeles is currently 65%, and 71% at the port of Long Beach. Those numbers could be misleading, however, due to inconsistent self-reporting (more on that in a bit).

As essential workers, dock employees are theoretically a priority for vaccination. But vaccine shortages and logistical issues have been a problem. 

“Right now we’re moving fairly slowly because we just don’t have enough vaccine,” LA County Health Department director Barbara Ferrer said, according to the Times.

Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti, Long Beach Mayor Robert Garcia and other officials wrote to California Gov. Gavin Newsom and the state’s health and human services secretary to push them to speed up the vaccination effort among Southern California’s 15,000 dockworkers.

So far, according to Seroka, not a single longshore worker at the two ports has gotten a vaccine yet. 

The worst case scenario right now for Los Angeles and the U.S. overall, relying on the major West Coast port, would be shutdowns, as laid out by California Reps. Nanette Diaz Barragan and Alan Lowenthal.

“Without immediate action, terminals at the largest port complex in America may face the very real danger of terminal shutdowns,” they wrote to California and LA County health officials this month. “This would be disastrous not only for the communities of the South Bay, but also the entire nation, which relies upon the vital flow of goods through these ports.” 

Another issue at the ports has been the alleged failure to comply with California reporting mandates. As we saw with the ports’ slightly inland neighbor, Los Angeles Apparel, the state requires immediate notification if a workplace has three or more confirmed COVID-19 cases in 14 days. 

Representatives for three Southern California longshore workers unions said only one of the ports’ combined 12 terminals has reported an outbreak since last March. It involved 15 workers. 

“This is not being done by terminal operators at the San Pedro Bay port complex,” the representatives said. “The vast majority of terminal operators are failing to report at all.”

Seroka and Mario Cordero, executive director of the Port of Long Beach, told the LA Times that they don’t expect “any imminent terminal shutdowns,” but they don’t want to leave the issue going until it’s too late and they do need to issue shutdowns. 

“If we don’t do something fast, we are jeopardizing the fluidity of the movement of cargo,” Cordero said.

Most promo suppliers have domestic stock on hand, lessening the immediate impact of shipping delays from China. But the longer port slowdowns draw on, the greater the chance delays could affect orders as the year plays out.

Maersk Essen loses 750 boxes into the Pacific

Another container ship has spilled up to 750 boxes into the sea, just weeks after the ONE Apus lost around 1,900.

Maersk Essen, enroute from Xiamen to Los Angeles and carrying up to 13,092 teu, reportedly during severe weather, lost a “very significant number of containers overboard in the Pacific Ocean on 16 January”, according to cargo casualty management company WK Webster.

According to FleetMon, up to 100 floating containers are drifting north-west of Honolulu. 

While it is thought up to 750 containers may have been lost overboard, and it is also likely that, like with the ONE Apus, others will be damaged in affected stacks. These boxes will need to be removed and repositioned, noted WK Webster.

But unlike the ONE Apus, the Maersk Essen is continuing to its destination of Los Angeles, where it is expected to arrive on Saturday. WK Webster is arranging for surveyors to investigate and carry out cargo surveys. 

It said the ship, set to go to Cai Mep, Vietnam next, would likely be delayed and anyone that had insured cargo onboard the ship should contact WK Webster as soon as possible. 

More on this story coming later.

Import surge, labor shortages worsen LA-LB congestion

Congestion at the already-clogged ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach has gotten worse in just the past month, demonstrated by rising truck turn and container dwell times, more ships waiting at berth, and anecdotal reports from individual terminal operators. Worsening delays came despite terminals working longer hours. 

The overriding problem, terminal operators say, is that six straight months of near-record cargo volumes have congested the entire Southern California supply chain beyond its capacity. Terminal operators can’t vacate laden import containers fast enough to keep up with the import surge and make room for the discharge of new arrivals. 

“There is no room on the terminals,” said Anthony Otto, president of Long Beach Container Terminal (LBCT). 

Key performance metrics for truck turn times, container dwell times at the terminals, vessels at anchor, and street dwell times for chassis at warehouses located as far as 60 miles from the Los Angeles-Long Beach port complex tell the story. 

Average truck turn times at the 12 container terminals that make up the LA-LB complex rose to 93 minutes in December, according to Harbor Trucking Association (HTA) truck mobility data, up from the record low of 58 minutes in June. The HTA began measuring turn times in 2013. 

The record low turn times came when US imports from Asia plunged during the COVID-19 lockdowns. The large increase in turn times over the past few months demonstrates how rapidly the terminals went from fluid conditions early in 2020 to virtual gridlock by the fall. 

While truck turn times reflect congestion at the terminal gates, increasing container dwell times highlight the congestion in the terminal yards. Otto noted that containers are sitting at the terminals for seven to eight days, compared with less than three days when import volumes were much lighter last spring and early summer. 

That is an indication container terminals are buckling under container exchanges from mega-ships that continue to discharge record imports week after week, said Weston LaBar, CEO of the Harbor Trucking Association. “It’s more volume than the terminals were designed to handle,” LaBar said. 

However, for historical perspective, December’s turn times are actually better than they were in the fall of 2014 and winter of 2015 when the average turn times were 100 minutes or greater for six consecutive months due to the labor disruptions during the West Coast longshore contract negotiations.

Also, LaBar noted that in December the HTA extended the geo-fence line at each terminal from which the turn times are measured to reflect the longer truck queues that formed last month. That move obviously was a source of concern from the terminal operators because it exaggerated somewhat the comparison of December’s numbers with previous months, but the HTA felt it was necessary to truly capture the time truckers were spending in long truck queues, LaBar said. 

And the ships keep arriving in port. There were 59 container ships in the Los Angeles-Long Beach port complex on Monday, with 25 of the vessels being worked and 34 at anchor awaiting berthing space, according to the Marine Exchange of Southern California. Another 15 container ships are scheduled to arrive in port through Thursday.

All terminals struggling, but for different reasons 

The truest indication of the impact six straight months of imports from Asia totaling about 800,000 TEU per month is having on the port complex is that all 12 of the container terminals are struggling to handle the volumes. That includes terminals that had consistently had the lowest truck turn times in the harbor. 

In December, the automated LBCT terminal, which for the past year had sub-40-minute average turn times, spiked to 94 minutes as import volumes surged. LBCT in the spring and summer months had been averaging 21,000 container lifts per week. In November and December, LBCT averaged 30,000 lifts per week, Otto said. 

“Our times used to be stellar. The fact is freight is not moving now,” he said. 

TraPac, the only other fully automated terminal in the port complex, had been registering sub-60-minute turn times last spring and summer. In December, it was the only terminal in the harbor to experience a lower turn time. Its 73-minute average was down from 80 minutes in November. Nevertheless, December’s turn times were higher than the 45- to 55-minute turn times last spring. 

The Matson-SSA terminal had likewise been consistently recording sub-40-minute turn times, but in December the average turn time increased to 46 minutes. “I’m not hearing complaints about Matson. It’s due to increased volume,” LaBar said. 

The three terminals SSA Marine operates in Long Beach — Matson-SSA, Pier A, and PCT — all outperformed the port-wide average in December. That’s in large part thanks to “dray-off” programs at the terminals, under which SSA moves inbound containers upon discharge from vessels to off-dock yards for overnight storage, thereby freeing up terminal space for more inbound loads. 

“The dray-off model really helps from an efficiency standpoint,” LaBar said. 

However, other terminal operators that may wish to duplicate SSA’s successful model are encountering pushback from some cities in Southern California that don’t want trucks in their communities. 

LaBar said the HTA has met “ad nauseam” with community leaders explaining how the increased tax revenue from container storage yards could help to replace revenues they are losing from reduced retail activity at local shopping malls due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), but to no avail.

The two largest container terminals in the harbor, APM Terminals in Los Angeles and Total Terminals International (TTI) in Long Beach, had the longest turn times in December, with APM at 137 minutes and TTI at 111.

Labor shortages rampant due to COVID-19 

LaBar said the busiest terminals have been especially challenged in getting sufficient workers during the COVID-19 pandemic because the allotment of longshore workers is rationed due to declining labor availability. “The labor shortages are COVID-related,” he said.

The Pacific Maritime Association (PMA), which represents West Coast employers, has steering committees in each region that assign labor based on the history of demand as well as the current demand for labor in each region, Jim McKenna, PMA president, told JOC.com. “So far these guys have been very accurate,” he said. 

However, the total labor force in Southern California has been reduced because of COVID-19, which means fewer longshore workers are being assigned to each terminal, McKenna said. “Today, 150 to 170 longshoremen are quarantined [in Southern California],” he said. That includes dockworkers who tested positive and others who have come in contact with someone who tested positive, he added. Workers in every area of the terminal, including the maintenance and repair longshore workers who repair chassis, have been affected. 

However, McKenna said, those longshore workers who are able to work are spending more time on the job. Each longshore worker in Los Angeles-Long Beach worked on average 5.2 shifts per week in December, up from 4.5 shifts in December 2019. In addition, the PMA and International Longshore and Warehouse Union have been adding 30 skilled equipment operators each month since last fall. “It’s an ongoing process,” McKenna said.

Chassis shortages continue 

Terminal operators say another critical element causing port congestion is a chassis shortage that has been ongoing since last summer. A spokesperson for APM Terminals said Pier 400 in Los Angeles opened on many days in December “with zero chassis.”

“This results in truck drivers sitting idle inside the terminal waiting for the next chassis to become available,” the spokesperson said. 

Key performance indicators on the website of the Pool of Pools, which is operated by DCLI, TRAC Intermodal, and Flexi-Van Leasing, show that street dwell times, which measure the time chassis sit at warehouses, averaged 7.8 days on Monday, or about twice the average of three to four days recorded in the first half of 2020. Out-of-service chassis at the 12 container terminals and four intermodal rail ramps totaled 3,835, according to the Pool of Pools website.

Ron Joseph, executive vice president and COO at DCLI, said the three intermodal equipment operators (IEPs) had reduced the out-of-service chassis to about 3,500 in early November by working extended hours and weekends. The terminals were closed for Christmas and New Year’s, so employers lost two workdays over the holidays. That affected all operations within the terminals, including the maintenance and repair dockworkers who fix out-of-service chassis. However, terminal hours and overtime work are being extended in the new year, so M&R work will increase and out-of-service chassis will be reduced, Joseph said. 

Also on a positive note, Otto said work continues on the final phase of an LBCT expansion project that will add much-needed terminal and berth capacity to the port complex. In addition to adding a third vessel berth, LBCT is enlarging its container yard, and installing ship-to-shore cranes. Capacity will be phased in beginning this spring, and when the work is completed by the end of 2021, the terminal’s annual capacity will be 3.3 million TEU 

However, carriers, non-vessel-operating common carriers (NVOs), and industry analysts project elevated import volumes well into the year, which means the largest US port complex could be grappling with congestion for some months to come.

“This December there was no rest, no time to recharge our batteries, because we were all so busy,” LaBar said, adding there is no relief in sight. “I’m being told to expect volumes to remain this strong at least through July.”

 

Extra-loaders not sufficient to handle US import volumes from Asia

US importers will continue to struggle to secure equipment and vessel space at Asian load ports through January, despite carriers continuing to deploy extra-loader vessels and launch new weekly services in the eastbound trans-Pacific trade, according to cargo interests.

That’s because US imports from Asia each month are increasing 20 to 30 percent year over year, and even the new capacity that is coming online will be stretched to the limit.

“If you’re trying to get a booking, and you don’t have a fixed deal in place, you’re probably booking three to four weeks out,” Christian Sur, executive vice president sales and marketing at Unique Logistics International, told JOC.com Wednesday.

West Coast ports handle about 60 percent of US imports from Asia, according to PIERS, a sister product of JOC.com within IHS Markit. In a recent issue of Sunday Spotlight published by Sea-Intelligence Maritime Analysis, CEO Alan Murphy said laden imports through West Coast ports would jump about 30 percent in both December and January year over year.

“There has been a surge in both imports into North America, and the capacity deployed on the Asia-North America trade,” Murphy said. “When we look at demand and supply, the argument is simple: Deployed capacity is dictated by demand.”

More extra-loaders are coming in January

Carriers deployed dozens of extra-loader vessels — i.e., those deployed on an ad hoc basis, rather than as part of a regularly scheduled liner service — from Asia to the United States in the past two months, mostly to the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, but also to East Coast ports, and are announcing additional extra-loaders for January.

The Southern California port complex handled 31 extra-loaders in December after 26 in November, according to the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. That’s on top of more than 35 extra-loaders deployed earlier in the fall. Carriers notified Long Beach of seven additional extra-loaders planned so far for January, and Los Angeles said it is expecting six extra-loaders, three of which were scheduled for December but have been pushed into January because of port congestion. That’s in addition to the regularly scheduled 27 weekly trans-Pacific services to Los Angeles-Long Beach.

East Coast ports also reported receiving extra-loaders over the past two months, with more scheduled for January. A Savannah spokesperson said the port handled seven extra-loaders in December and 14 in November, with seven scheduled so far for January. Charleston reported handling five extra-loaders in November-December. So far, none have been scheduled there for January. New York-New Jersey said it does not collect data on extra-loaders, although an industry source said the largest East Coast port complex has had “a few extra-loaders” the past two months.

Imports from Asia have been so strong in recent months that carriers have added some calls at secondary East Coast gateways. The Port of Baltimore, for example, told JOC.com it has had as many as 11 extra calls, including inducement calls, which are scheduled weekly strings to other ports that added Baltimore as a stop on the rotation.

The dozens of extra-loaders deployed so far to the East and West coasts have been filled mostly with imports by national retailers, large beneficial cargo owners (BCOs), and shippers of personal protective equipment (PPE), and medical supplies, non-vessl-operating common carriers (NVOs) said.

“It’s mostly reserved for the carriers’ main base customers,” Sur said. Smaller importers and NVOs are offered slots only after the core customers have been accommodated, “but it’s a last-minute thing,” he said.

New weekly strings launched in 2020

Carriers in the second half of 2020 launched several new weekly services from Asia to Los Angeles-Long Beach, including Mediterranean Shipping Company’s Santana service with 9,000 TEU vessels, and CMA CGM’s Seapriority Express premium service with 5,500 TEU ships. The first CMA CGM vessel is scheduled to arrive in early January. Also, Matson Navigation Co. added a second expedited service  with vessels of 2,800 to 4,500 TEU capacity.

THE Alliance earlier this month announced a new service from Asia to the US Gulf. The service will be launched in the spring of 2021 and will call in Houston, New Orleans, and Mobile.

The import surge began in late June in Los Angeles-Long Beach and picked up steam at East Coast ports later in the summer. Imports from Asia moving through the Southern California gateway totaled 4.1 million TEU in July through November, an increase of 20 percent from the same period in 2019, according to PIERS.

The ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach have borne the brunt of the import surge in terms of congestion throughout the supply chain, from vessel bunching to congested terminals and warehouses. Kip Louttit, executive director of the Marine Exchange of Southern California, said the relentless arrival of vessels and cargo are “choking the system.” The Marine Exchange reported Tuesday there were 58 container ships in the port complex, with 28 of the vessels at berth and 30 at anchor awaiting berthing space.

The Signal, published by the Port of Los Angeles, and the Wave, published by the Port of Long Beach, project the port complex will handle more than 230,000 TEU of laden imports in the week of Jan. 3, and a similar amount in the week of Jan. 10. According to PIERS, the port complex in January 2020 handled about 176,000 TEU of laden imports a week from Asia.

NVOs say vessels leaving ports in China and Southeast Asia are over-booked through January, and will likely remain so in early February until there is a brief respite when factories in Asia close on Feb. 12 for the Lunar New Year. Importers who have not already secured space for the coming month will struggle to do so.

“Getting space and equipment is a four-week endeavor,” said Jon Monroe, who serves as a consultant to NVOs.

The tight vessel space and equipment shortages in Asia have driven up spot rates to the West and East coasts to record levels. The spot rate from China to the West Coast on Dec. 25 was $4,080 per FEU, up 116.7 percent from the same week last year, while the East Coast rate was $4,876, up 62.6 percent year over year, according to the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index that is published in the JOC Shipping and Logistics Pricing Hub.